Suns vs. Thunder Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets - Friday, March 29, 2024
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) are 2.5-point underdogs against Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (43-30) Friday, March 29, 2024 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder are 2.5-point underdogs against each other on March 29, 2024 at Paycom Center. The game will be played at 8:00 PM ET on KSBI. The point total is set at 227. The Suns and the Thunder have both averaged 10.3 more points per game than the over/under of 227. Phoenix and Oklahoma City have seen their opponents average a combined 0.1 more points each game than this game. The Phoenix Suns have a 21-27-1 record against the spread this season, while the Thunder has a 41-30-1.0 record. The scoring leader for the Suns this season is Durant, who averages 27.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) are 2.5-point underdogs against Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (43-30) Friday, March 29, 2024 at Paycom Center. The game starts at 8:00 PM ET on KSBI. The matchup’s point total is set at 227.
How to Bet on Suns vs. Thunder
Who Will Win Suns vs. Thunder?
Suns and Thunder Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Suns have a 21-27-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
The Thunder have a 7-3-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
The Suns and the Thunder combine to average 10.3 more points per game than the over/under of 227 set for this game.
Phoenix and Oklahoma City have seen its opponents average a combined 0.1 more points per game than the over/under of 227 set in this outing.
The Suns’ average point total in matchups this year is 230.8, 3.8 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for Oklahoma City this season is 6.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Thunder have a 41-30-1 record against the spread this season.
The Suns have a +217 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.0 points per game. They’re putting up 116.9 points per game to rank 10th in the league and are giving up 113.9 per contest to rank 16th in the NBA.
The Suns are eighth in the NBA at 44.3 rebounds per game. That’s 3.0 more than the 41.3 their opponents average.
Phoenix knocks down 12.2 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.2. It shoots 38.2% from deep while its opponents hit 36.2% from long range.
The Suns average 119.0 points per 100 possessions (ninth in the league), while allowing 115.9 points per 100 possessions (13th in the NBA).
The Suns have scored at a higher rate in home games than on the road in the 2023-24 season (117.1 at home versus 116.6 on the road), and have also allowed more points in home games than on the road (114.1 opponent points per home game versus 113.8 on the road).
The Thunder’s +520 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 120.4 points per game (third in NBA) while allowing 113.2 per outing (13th in league).
Oklahoma City comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.9 boards. It collects 41.9 rebounds per game (26th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.8.
The Thunder knock down 13.4 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.4. They shoot 39.0% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.3%.
The Thunder rank third in the league averaging 120.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are seventh, allowing 113.5 points per 100 possessions.
Oklahoma City is scoring more points at home (122.8 per game) than on the road (118.0).
The scoring leader for the Suns this season is Durant (among active players), who averages 27.6 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game.
Devin Booker contributes with 27.2 points, 6.9 assists and 4.8 rebounds a game, and Jusuf Nurkic adds 11.3 points, 3.8 assists and 11.0 rebounds per matchup.
Grayson Allen leads active Suns in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Nurkic averages 1.0 steal per game, while Durant has 1.3 blocks per contest.
Gilgeous-Alexander has the top spot on the Thunder scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 30.4 points and 6.3 assists per game.
This season, Chet Holmgren has a statline of 16.7 points, 2.6 assists and 7.9 rebounds per game.
The Thunder’s defensive efforts get a lift from Gilgeous-Alexander (2.1 steals per game) and Holmgren (2.4 blocks per game).